Saturday, Sept. 26 · College football Week 4

The Saturday Week 4 board.

All 65 games involving an FBS team: our game forecasts, side and totals calls, Cover 3 locks, SP+ scores and three Athlon expert picks for each matchup.

65Saturday games
53FBS–FBS games
9side calls
35totals calls

How to read the board

Each source makes a different call.

The latest spread and All Takes margin lead each game. Our side card selects 9 Saturday games; the separate totals card makes 35 calls across 53 FBS–FBS games. Athlon’s three writers pick winners, Cover 3’s hosts name specific betting markets, and SP+ projects scores. A winner pick or score projection is not a spread bet.

Game forecast frozen Sep 26, 9:13 AM EDT · Side lines captured Sep 26, 9:13 AM EDT · Totals lines captured Sep 24, 6:23 PM EDT · SP+ Sept. 20 · Cover 3 and Athlon Sept. 24

Jump to a game

The Saturday slate

Kickoff to last call.

All 65 games are in kickoff order. A game without a Cover 3 lock or All Takes totals call is labeled on its card.

Week 4 slate

Saturday, September 26

65 games
01
12:00 PM EDT

Texas at Tennessee

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotTexas −5.252 books · consensus
Total snapshot54.8Consensus
All Takes marginTexas by 6.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreTexas 29 · Tennessee 28Texas by 1.4

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardUnder 55.5

The totals model projects 54.6 points against the card’s 55.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Cover 3 podcastSept. 24 locks
5 host plays
  • Bud ElliottTennessee–Texas over 55.5 (−110)
  • Chip PattersonTennessee +4.5 (−110)
  • Danny KanellTennessee 1Q +1.5 (−110)
  • Chip PattersonTennessee +170 moneyline
  • Danny KanellTennessee +170 moneyline
Watch episode ↗Check pick list ↗
Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Texas
  • Steven LassanTexas
  • Tyler SchusterTexas
  • Kyle WoodTexas
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Texas by 1.4

Texas 29, Tennessee 28; 54% win probability for Texas. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
02
12:00 PM EDT

Sam Houston at Texas Tech

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotTexas Tech −34.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot56.3Consensus
All Takes marginTexas Tech by 34.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreSam Houston 8 · Texas Tech 45Texas Tech by 37.2

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardOver 55.5

The totals model projects 56.4 points against the card’s 55.8 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Texas Tech
  • Steven LassanTexas Tech
  • Tyler SchusterTexas Tech
  • Kyle WoodTexas Tech
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Texas Tech by 37.2

Sam Houston 8, Texas Tech 45; 99% win probability for Texas Tech. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
03
12:00 PM EDT

Colorado at Baylor

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotBaylor −9.252 books · consensus
Total snapshot55.5Consensus
All Takes marginBaylor by 8.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreColorado 22 · Baylor 32Baylor by 10.6

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardUnder 55.5

The totals model projects 55.0 points against the card’s 55.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Baylor
  • Steven LassanBaylor
  • Tyler SchusterBaylor
  • Kyle WoodBaylor
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Baylor by 10.6

Colorado 22, Baylor 32; 75% win probability for Baylor. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
04
12:00 PM EDT

Bucknell at Pittsburgh

All Takes sideBucknell
Spread snapshotPittsburgh −542 books · consensus
Total snapshot63.5Consensus
All Takes marginPittsburgh by 52.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreBucknell 0 · Pittsburgh 58Pittsburgh by 57.6

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardBucknell +54

Our Bucknell line is +52, 2.0 points from the saved consensus spread.

Saved line
+54
Projected line
+52
Week 4 totals cardNo published call

This FBS–FCS matchup is outside the published totals card.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Pittsburgh
  • Steven LassanPittsburgh
  • Tyler SchusterPittsburgh
  • Kyle WoodPittsburgh
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Pittsburgh by 57.6

Bucknell 0, Pittsburgh 58; 100% win probability for Pittsburgh. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
05
12:00 PM EDT

Virginia Tech at Boston College

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotVirginia Tech −142 books · consensus
Total snapshot45.5Consensus
All Takes marginVirginia Tech by 14.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreVirginia Tech 34 · Boston College 19Virginia Tech by 14.7

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardUnder 47.5

The totals model projects 43.3 points against the card’s 47.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Virginia Tech
  • Steven LassanVirginia Tech
  • Tyler SchusterVirginia Tech
  • Kyle WoodVirginia Tech
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Virginia Tech by 14.7

Virginia Tech 34, Boston College 19; 82% win probability for Virginia Tech. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
06
12:00 PM EDT

Wake Forest at Louisville

All Takes sideWake Forest
Spread snapshotLouisville −12.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot57.3Consensus
All Takes marginLouisville by 11.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreWake Forest 20 · Louisville 32Louisville by 12.2

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardWake Forest +12.5

Our Wake Forest line is +11, 1.5 points from the saved consensus spread.

Saved line
+12.5
Projected line
+11
Week 4 totals cardUnder 57.0

The totals model projects 54.7 points against the card’s 56.8 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Louisville
  • Steven LassanLouisville
  • Tyler SchusterLouisville
  • Kyle WoodLouisville
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Louisville by 12.2

Wake Forest 20, Louisville 32; 78% win probability for Louisville. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
07
12:00 PM EDT

Illinois at Ohio State

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotOhio State −26.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot54.5Consensus
All Takes marginOhio State by 26.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreIllinois 16 · Ohio State 37Ohio State by 21.1

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardUnder 54.0

The totals model projects 52.4 points against the card’s 53.8 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Ohio State
  • Steven LassanOhio State
  • Tyler SchusterOhio State
  • Kyle WoodOhio State
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Ohio State by 21.1

Illinois 16, Ohio State 37; 91% win probability for Ohio State. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
08
12:00 PM EDT

San Diego State at Toledo

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotToledo −2.752 books · consensus
Total snapshot50.8Consensus
All Takes marginToledo by 2.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreSan Diego State 24 · Toledo 24San Diego State by 0.5

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardUnder 51.5

The totals model projects 50.2 points against the card’s 51.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Toledo
  • Steven LassanToledo
  • Tyler SchusterToledo
  • Kyle WoodToledo
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
San Diego State by 0.5

San Diego State 24, Toledo 24; 51% win probability for San Diego State. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
09
12:00 PM EDT

Colorado State at UTSA

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotUTSA −142 books · consensus
Total snapshot57.3Consensus
All Takes marginUTSA by 14.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreColorado State 23 · UTSA 31UTSA by 7.8

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardUnder 58.5

The totals model projects 55.8 points against the card’s 58.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: UTSA
  • Steven LassanUTSA
  • Tyler SchusterUTSA
  • Kyle WoodUTSA
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
UTSA by 7.8

Colorado State 23, UTSA 31; 69% win probability for UTSA. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
10
12:00 PM EDT

UNLV at Akron

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotUNLV −13.252 books · consensus
Total snapshot53.3Consensus
All Takes marginUNLV by 14.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreUNLV 33 · Akron 18UNLV by 15.0

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardOver 52.5

The totals model projects 54.0 points against the card’s 52.8 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: UNLV
  • Steven LassanUNLV
  • Tyler SchusterUNLV
  • Kyle WoodUNLV
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
UNLV by 15.0

UNLV 33, Akron 18; 83% win probability for UNLV. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
11
12:00 PM EDT

Ball State at Kent State

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotKent State −32 books · consensus
Total snapshot50.8Consensus
All Takes marginKent State by 3.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreBall State 25 · Kent State 27Kent State by 2.0

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardPass

The totals model projects 51.1 points against the card’s 50.8 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
Split decision
  • Steven LassanKent State
  • Tyler SchusterBall State
  • Kyle WoodBall State
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Kent State by 2.0

Ball State 25, Kent State 27; 55% win probability for Kent State. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
12
12:45 PM EDT

South Alabama at Kentucky

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotKentucky −20.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot54.3Consensus
All Takes marginKentucky by 20.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreSouth Alabama 17 · Kentucky 38Kentucky by 21.1

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardUnder 54.5

The totals model projects 53.2 points against the card’s 54.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Kentucky
  • Steven LassanKentucky
  • Tyler SchusterKentucky
  • Kyle WoodKentucky
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Kentucky by 21.1

South Alabama 17, Kentucky 38; 91% win probability for Kentucky. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
13
1:00 PM EDT

Lindenwood at Eastern Michigan

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotEastern Michigan −25.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot51.3Consensus
All Takes marginEastern Michigan by 25.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreLindenwood 15 · Eastern Michigan 38Eastern Michigan by 22.7

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardNo published call

This FBS–FCS matchup is outside the published totals card.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Eastern Michigan
  • Steven LassanEastern Michigan
  • Tyler SchusterEastern Michigan
  • Kyle WoodEastern Michigan
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Eastern Michigan by 22.7

Lindenwood 15, Eastern Michigan 38; 92% win probability for Eastern Michigan. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
14
1:30 PM EDT

UCLA at Maryland

All Takes sideUCLA
Spread snapshotUCLA −1.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot56.3Consensus
All Takes marginUCLA by 3.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreUCLA 26 · Maryland 28Maryland by 1.4

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardUCLA −1.5

Our UCLA line is −3, 1.5 points from the saved consensus spread.

Saved line
−1.5
Projected line
−3
Week 4 totals cardUnder 57.0

The totals model projects 55.3 points against the card’s 56.8 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Cover 3 podcastSept. 24 locks
3 host plays
  • Bud ElliottMaryland team total over 27.5 (−110)
  • Danny KanellMaryland +108 moneyline
  • Tom FornelliMaryland +108 moneyline
Watch episode ↗Check pick list ↗
Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: UCLA
  • Steven LassanUCLA
  • Tyler SchusterUCLA
  • Kyle WoodUCLA
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Maryland by 1.4

UCLA 26, Maryland 28; 53% win probability for Maryland. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
15
2:00 PM EDT

Notre Dame at Purdue

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotNotre Dame −27.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot57.3Consensus
All Takes marginNotre Dame by 28.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreNotre Dame 41 · Purdue 15Notre Dame by 26.3

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardUnder 58.5

The totals model projects 56.7 points against the card’s 58.3 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Notre Dame
  • Steven LassanNotre Dame
  • Tyler SchusterNotre Dame
  • Kyle WoodNotre Dame
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Notre Dame by 26.3

Notre Dame 41, Purdue 15; 95% win probability for Notre Dame. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
16
2:00 PM EDT

Northern Illinois at Georgia State

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotGeorgia State −10.252 books · consensus
Total snapshot56.5Consensus
All Takes marginGeorgia State by 10.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreNorthern Illinois 26 · Georgia State 28Georgia State by 2.6

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardPass

The totals model projects 56.4 points against the card’s 56.3 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Georgia State
  • Steven LassanGeorgia State
  • Tyler SchusterGeorgia State
  • Kyle WoodGeorgia State
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Georgia State by 2.6

Northern Illinois 26, Georgia State 28; 57% win probability for Georgia State. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
17
3:00 PM EDT

Central Arkansas at Florida State

All Takes sideCentral Arkansas
Spread snapshotFlorida State −46.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot62.8Consensus
All Takes marginFlorida State by 45.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreCentral Arkansas 7 · Florida State 48Florida State by 40.7

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardCentral Arkansas +46.5

Our Central Arkansas line is +45, 1.5 points from the saved consensus spread.

Saved line
+46.5
Projected line
+45
Week 4 totals cardNo published call

This FBS–FCS matchup is outside the published totals card.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Florida State
  • Steven LassanFlorida State
  • Tyler SchusterFlorida State
  • Kyle WoodFlorida State
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Florida State by 40.7

Central Arkansas 7, Florida State 48; 99% win probability for Florida State. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
18
3:00 PM EDT

Hawai'i at Wyoming

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotHawai'i −2.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot43.5Consensus
All Takes marginHawai'i by 3.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreHawai'i 27 · Wyoming 21Hawai'i by 5.5

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardOver 43.5

The totals model projects 45.4 points against the card’s 43.8 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Hawai'i
  • Steven LassanHawai'i
  • Tyler SchusterHawai'i
  • Kyle WoodHawai'i
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Hawai'i by 5.5

Hawai'i 27, Wyoming 21; 63% win probability for Hawai'i. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
19
3:30 PM EDT

Ole Miss at Florida

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotFlorida −3.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot58.8Consensus
All Takes marginFlorida by 3.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreOle Miss 25 · Florida 30Florida by 4.7

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardUnder 59.5

The totals model projects 57.2 points against the card’s 59.3 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Cover 3 podcastSept. 24 locks
5 host plays
  • Bud ElliottFlorida–Ole Miss 1H under 30.5 (−110)
  • Chip PattersonFlorida 1H team total over 14.5 (−110)
  • Danny KanellFlorida −3 (−110)
  • Tom FornelliFlorida–Ole Miss over 58.5 (−110)
  • Tom FornelliOle Miss +150 moneyline
Watch episode ↗Check pick list ↗
Athlon SportsThree staff picks
Split decision
  • Steven LassanFlorida
  • Tyler SchusterOle Miss
  • Kyle WoodOle Miss
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Florida by 4.7

Ole Miss 25, Florida 30; 62% win probability for Florida. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
20
3:30 PM EDT

Oklahoma at Georgia

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotGeorgia −13.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot43.5Consensus
All Takes marginGeorgia by 13.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreOklahoma 18 · Georgia 31Georgia by 13.1

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardPass

The totals model projects 43.7 points against the card’s 44.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Cover 3 podcastSept. 24 locks
3 host plays
  • Chip PattersonGeorgia −13.5 (−110)
  • Danny KanellOklahoma +14 (−110)
  • Danny KanellGeorgia–Oklahoma under 45 (−110)
Watch episode ↗Check pick list ↗
Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Georgia
  • Steven LassanGeorgia
  • Tyler SchusterGeorgia
  • Kyle WoodGeorgia
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Georgia by 13.1

Oklahoma 18, Georgia 31; 79% win probability for Georgia. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
21
3:30 PM EDT

TCU at UCF

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotTCU −32 books · consensus
Total snapshot48.3Consensus
All Takes marginTCU by 3.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreTCU 26 · UCF 23TCU by 3.2

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardPass

The totals model projects 48.8 points against the card’s 48.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
TCU by 3.2

TCU 26, UCF 23; 58% win probability for TCU. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
22
3:30 PM EDT

Utah at Iowa State

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotUtah −7.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot47.5Consensus
All Takes marginUtah by 8.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreUtah 29 · Iowa State 20Utah by 8.7

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardPass

The totals model projects 47.6 points against the card’s 47.8 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Utah
  • Steven LassanUtah
  • Tyler SchusterUtah
  • Kyle WoodUtah
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Utah by 8.7

Utah 29, Iowa State 20; 71% win probability for Utah. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
23
3:30 PM EDT

William & Mary at Duke

All Takes sideWilliam & Mary
Spread snapshotDuke −442 books · consensus
Total snapshot62.3Consensus
All Takes marginDuke by 42.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreWilliam & Mary 7 · Duke 51Duke by 43.3

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardWilliam & Mary +44

Our William & Mary line is +42, 2.0 points from the saved consensus spread.

Saved line
+44
Projected line
+42
Week 4 totals cardNo published call

This FBS–FCS matchup is outside the published totals card.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Duke
  • Steven LassanDuke
  • Tyler SchusterDuke
  • Kyle WoodDuke
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Duke by 43.3

William & Mary 7, Duke 51; 100% win probability for Duke. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
24
3:30 PM EDT

Iowa at Michigan

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotMichigan −5.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot38.8Consensus
All Takes marginMichigan by 5.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreIowa 23 · Michigan 23Michigan by 0.3

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardPass

The totals model projects 39.2 points against the card’s 38.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
Split decision
  • Steven LassanMichigan
  • Tyler SchusterIowa
  • Kyle WoodIowa
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Michigan by 0.3

Iowa 23, Michigan 23; 51% win probability for Michigan. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
25
3:30 PM EDT

Boise State at Western Michigan

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotBoise State −7.252 books · consensus
Total snapshot50.3Consensus
All Takes marginBoise State by 7.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreBoise State 29 · Western Michigan 21Boise State by 7.1

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardUnder 50.0

The totals model projects 49.4 points against the card’s 49.8 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Boise State
  • Steven LassanBoise State
  • Tyler SchusterBoise State
  • Kyle WoodBoise State
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Boise State by 7.1

Boise State 29, Western Michigan 21; 67% win probability for Boise State. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
26
3:30 PM EDT

UConn at Miami (OH)

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotMiami (OH) −3.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot51.8Consensus
All Takes marginMiami (OH) by 3.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreUConn 25 · Miami (OH) 26Miami (OH) by 1.7

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardUnder 51.5

The totals model projects 50.2 points against the card’s 51.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Miami (OH)
  • Steven LassanMiami (OH)
  • Tyler SchusterMiami (OH)
  • Kyle WoodMiami (OH)
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Miami (OH) by 1.7

UConn 25, Miami (OH) 26; 54% win probability for Miami (OH). Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
27
3:30 PM EDT

New Mexico at New Mexico State

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotNew Mexico −11.252 books · consensus
Total snapshot48.5Consensus
All Takes marginNew Mexico by 12.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreNew Mexico 34 · New Mexico State 16New Mexico by 18.0

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardPass

The totals model projects 48.4 points against the card’s 48.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: New Mexico
  • Steven LassanNew Mexico
  • Tyler SchusterNew Mexico
  • Kyle WoodNew Mexico
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
New Mexico by 18.0

New Mexico 34, New Mexico State 16; 87% win probability for New Mexico. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
28
3:30 PM EDT

Robert Morris at Buffalo

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotBuffalo −28.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot46.5Consensus
All Takes marginBuffalo by 28.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreRobert Morris 7 · Buffalo 34Buffalo by 26.9

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardNo published call

This FBS–FCS matchup is outside the published totals card.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Buffalo
  • Steven LassanBuffalo
  • Tyler SchusterBuffalo
  • Kyle WoodBuffalo
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Buffalo by 26.9

Robert Morris 7, Buffalo 34; 95% win probability for Buffalo. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
29
3:30 PM EDT

Stonehill at Ohio

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotOhio −33.252 books · consensus
Total snapshot53.3Consensus
All Takes marginOhio by 33.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreStonehill 3 · Ohio 40Ohio by 36.6

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardNo published call

This FBS–FCS matchup is outside the published totals card.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Ohio
  • Steven LassanOhio
  • Tyler SchusterOhio
  • Kyle WoodOhio
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Ohio by 36.6

Stonehill 3, Ohio 40; 99% win probability for Ohio. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
30
3:30 PM EDT

Gardner-Webb at Marshall

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotMarshall −23.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot52.5Consensus
All Takes marginMarshall by 23.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreGardner-Webb 18 · Marshall 39Marshall by 20.6

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardNo published call

This FBS–FCS matchup is outside the published totals card.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Marshall
  • Steven LassanMarshall
  • Tyler SchusterMarshall
  • Kyle WoodMarshall
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Marshall by 20.6

Gardner-Webb 18, Marshall 39; 90% win probability for Marshall. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
31
4:00 PM EDT

Houston at Georgia Southern

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotHouston −17.252 books · consensus
Total snapshot56.5Consensus
All Takes marginHouston by 18.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreHouston 35 · Georgia Southern 19Houston by 16.0

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardPass

The totals model projects 56.4 points against the card’s 56.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Houston
  • Steven LassanHouston
  • Tyler SchusterHouston
  • Kyle WoodHouston
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Houston by 16.0

Houston 35, Georgia Southern 19; 84% win probability for Houston. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
32
4:00 PM EDT

North Carolina Central at East Carolina

All Takes sideNorth Carolina Central
Spread snapshotEast Carolina −36.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot56.5Consensus
All Takes marginEast Carolina by 35.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreNorth Carolina Central 12 · East Carolina 42East Carolina by 29.4

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardNorth Carolina Central +36.5

Our North Carolina Central line is +35, 1.5 points from the saved consensus spread.

Saved line
+36.5
Projected line
+35
Week 4 totals cardNo published call

This FBS–FCS matchup is outside the published totals card.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: East Carolina
  • Steven LassanEast Carolina
  • Tyler SchusterEast Carolina
  • Kyle WoodEast Carolina
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
East Carolina by 29.4

North Carolina Central 12, East Carolina 42; 97% win probability for East Carolina. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
33
4:15 PM EDT

Vanderbilt at Auburn

All Takes sideVanderbilt
Spread snapshotAuburn −9.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot55.5Consensus
All Takes marginAuburn by 8.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreVanderbilt 24 · Auburn 28Auburn by 4.3

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardVanderbilt +9.5

Our Vanderbilt line is +8, 1.5 points from the saved consensus spread.

Saved line
+9.5
Projected line
+8
Week 4 totals cardUnder 55.5

The totals model projects 53.6 points against the card’s 55.3 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
Split decision
  • Steven LassanAuburn
  • Tyler SchusterVanderbilt
  • Kyle WoodVanderbilt
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Auburn by 4.3

Vanderbilt 24, Auburn 28; 61% win probability for Auburn. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
34
5:00 PM EDT

Nebraska at Michigan State

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotNebraska −5.752 books · consensus
Total snapshot49.3Consensus
All Takes marginNebraska by 6.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreNebraska 31 · Michigan State 21Nebraska by 9.7

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardOver 48.5

The totals model projects 49.9 points against the card’s 48.8 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Cover 3 podcastSept. 24 locks
3 host plays
  • Tom FornelliMichigan State +6 (−110)
  • Danny KanellMichigan State +189 moneyline
  • Tom FornelliMichigan State +189 moneyline
Watch episode ↗Check pick list ↗
Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Nebraska
  • Steven LassanNebraska
  • Tyler SchusterNebraska
  • Kyle WoodNebraska
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Nebraska by 9.7

Nebraska 31, Michigan State 21; 73% win probability for Nebraska. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
35
5:00 PM EDT

Wisconsin at Penn State

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotPenn State −102 books · consensus
Total snapshot43.8Consensus
All Takes marginPenn State by 10.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreWisconsin 15 · Penn State 32Penn State by 16.5

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardPass

The totals model projects 44.9 points against the card’s 44.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Cover 3 podcastSept. 24 locks
2 host plays
  • Bud ElliottPenn State team total under 28.5 (−110)
  • Danny KanellPenn State–Wisconsin under 45 (−110)
Watch episode ↗Check pick list ↗
Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Penn State
  • Steven LassanPenn State
  • Tyler SchusterPenn State
  • Kyle WoodPenn State
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Penn State by 16.5

Wisconsin 15, Penn State 32; 85% win probability for Penn State. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
36
5:00 PM EDT

South Florida at Bowling Green

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotSouth Florida −18.252 books · consensus
Total snapshot48.8Consensus
All Takes marginSouth Florida by 19.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreSouth Florida 37 · Bowling Green 15South Florida by 21.4

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardOver 49.0

The totals model projects 50.8 points against the card’s 49.3 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: South Florida
  • Steven LassanSouth Florida
  • Tyler SchusterSouth Florida
  • Kyle WoodSouth Florida
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
South Florida by 21.4

South Florida 37, Bowling Green 15; 91% win probability for South Florida. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
37
6:00 PM EDT

Delaware at Virginia

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotVirginia −19.752 books · consensus
Total snapshot52.5Consensus
All Takes marginVirginia by 19.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreDelaware 16 · Virginia 37Virginia by 21.2

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardPass

The totals model projects 52.5 points against the card’s 52.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Virginia
  • Steven LassanVirginia
  • Tyler SchusterVirginia
  • Kyle WoodVirginia
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Virginia by 21.2

Delaware 16, Virginia 37; 91% win probability for Virginia. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
38
6:00 PM EDT

Incarnate Word at Texas State

All Takes sideIncarnate Word
Spread snapshotTexas State −30.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot64.8Consensus
All Takes marginTexas State by 29.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreIncarnate Word 22 · Texas State 44Texas State by 22.5

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardIncarnate Word +30.5

Our Incarnate Word line is +29, 1.5 points from the saved consensus spread.

Saved line
+30.5
Projected line
+29
Week 4 totals cardNo published call

This FBS–FCS matchup is outside the published totals card.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Texas State
  • Steven LassanTexas State
  • Tyler SchusterTexas State
  • Kyle WoodTexas State
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Texas State by 22.5

Incarnate Word 22, Texas State 44; 92% win probability for Texas State. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
39
6:00 PM EDT

Long Island University at Florida International

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotFlorida International −362 books · consensus
Total snapshot53.3Consensus
All Takes marginFlorida International by 35.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreLong Island University 4 · Florida International 42Florida International by 38.1

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardNo published call

This FBS–FCS matchup is outside the published totals card.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Florida International
  • Steven LassanFlorida International
  • Tyler SchusterFlorida International
  • Kyle WoodFlorida International
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Florida International by 38.1

Long Island University 4, Florida International 42; 99% win probability for Florida International. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
40
6:00 PM EDT

James Madison at Old Dominion

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotJames Madison −62 books · consensus
Total snapshot43.8Consensus
All Takes marginJames Madison by 6.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreJames Madison 29 · Old Dominion 19James Madison by 10.7

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardPass

The totals model projects 44.6 points against the card’s 44.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: James Madison
  • Steven LassanJames Madison
  • Tyler SchusterJames Madison
  • Kyle WoodJames Madison
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
James Madison by 10.7

James Madison 29, Old Dominion 19; 75% win probability for James Madison. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
41
6:30 PM EDT

Central Michigan at Miami

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotMiami −41.252 books · consensus
Total snapshot53.5Consensus
All Takes marginMiami by 41.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreCentral Michigan 3 · Miami 44Miami by 40.6

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardOver 53.5

The totals model projects 55.6 points against the card’s 54.0 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Miami
  • Steven LassanMiami
  • Tyler SchusterMiami
  • Kyle WoodMiami
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Miami by 40.6

Central Michigan 3, Miami 44; 99% win probability for Miami. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
42
6:30 PM EDT

Louisiana at Charlotte

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotLouisiana −102 books · consensus
Total snapshot49.5Consensus
All Takes marginLouisiana by 10.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreLouisiana 35 · Charlotte 21Louisiana by 14.4

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardPass

The totals model projects 48.6 points against the card’s 48.8 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Louisiana
  • Steven LassanLouisiana
  • Tyler SchusterLouisiana
  • Kyle WoodLouisiana
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Louisiana by 14.4

Louisiana 35, Charlotte 21; 82% win probability for Louisiana. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
43
7:00 PM EDT

South Carolina at Alabama

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotAlabama −12.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot54.3Consensus
All Takes marginAlabama by 12.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreSouth Carolina 21 · Alabama 30Alabama by 9.1

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardUnder 54.0

The totals model projects 52.7 points against the card’s 53.8 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Alabama
  • Steven LassanAlabama
  • Tyler SchusterAlabama
  • Kyle WoodAlabama
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Alabama by 9.1

South Carolina 21, Alabama 30; 72% win probability for Alabama. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
44
7:00 PM EDT

Kansas State at Cincinnati

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotKansas State −6.252 books · consensus
Total snapshot55.5Consensus
All Takes marginKansas State by 7.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreKansas State 30 · Cincinnati 26Kansas State by 3.8

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardUnder 55.5

The totals model projects 54.9 points against the card’s 55.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Kansas State
  • Steven LassanKansas State
  • Tyler SchusterKansas State
  • Kyle WoodKansas State
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Kansas State by 3.8

Kansas State 30, Cincinnati 26; 60% win probability for Kansas State. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
45
7:00 PM EDT

Oklahoma State at West Virginia

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotWest Virginia −1.752 books · consensus
Total snapshot61.3Consensus
All Takes marginWest Virginia by 1.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreOklahoma State 28 · West Virginia 26Oklahoma State by 2.4

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardUnder 60.5

The totals model projects 59.6 points against the card’s 60.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: West Virginia
  • Steven LassanWest Virginia
  • Tyler SchusterWest Virginia
  • Kyle WoodWest Virginia
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Oklahoma State by 2.4

Oklahoma State 28, West Virginia 26; 56% win probability for Oklahoma State. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
46
7:00 PM EDT

Southern Miss at Tulane

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotTulane −17.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot52.5Consensus
All Takes marginTulane by 17.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreSouthern Miss 19 · Tulane 35Tulane by 16.0

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardPass

The totals model projects 52.5 points against the card’s 52.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Tulane
  • Steven LassanTulane
  • Tyler SchusterTulane
  • Kyle WoodTulane
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Tulane by 16.0

Southern Miss 19, Tulane 35; 84% win probability for Tulane. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
47
7:00 PM EDT

Kennesaw State at Arkansas State

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotArkansas State −6.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot52.5Consensus
All Takes marginArkansas State by 6.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreKennesaw State 24 · Arkansas State 30Arkansas State by 5.5

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardUnder 53.0

The totals model projects 51.8 points against the card’s 52.8 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Arkansas State
  • Steven LassanArkansas State
  • Tyler SchusterArkansas State
  • Kyle WoodArkansas State
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Arkansas State by 5.5

Kennesaw State 24, Arkansas State 30; 63% win probability for Arkansas State. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
48
7:00 PM EDT

Mercyhurst at Western Kentucky

All Takes sideMercyhurst
Spread snapshotWestern Kentucky −40.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot58.3Consensus
All Takes marginWestern Kentucky by 39.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreMercyhurst 10 · Western Kentucky 44Western Kentucky by 34.1

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardMercyhurst +40.5

Our Mercyhurst line is +39, 1.5 points from the saved consensus spread.

Saved line
+40.5
Projected line
+39
Week 4 totals cardNo published call

This FBS–FCS matchup is outside the published totals card.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Western Kentucky
  • Steven LassanWestern Kentucky
  • Tyler SchusterWestern Kentucky
  • Kyle WoodWestern Kentucky
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Western Kentucky by 34.1

Mercyhurst 10, Western Kentucky 44; 98% win probability for Western Kentucky. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
49
7:00 PM EDT

Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotJacksonville State −72 books · consensus
Total snapshot51.5Consensus
All Takes marginJacksonville State by 7.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreMiddle Tennessee 18 · Jacksonville State 37Jacksonville State by 18.2

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardUnder 51.5

The totals model projects 50.4 points against the card’s 51.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Jacksonville State
  • Steven LassanJacksonville State
  • Tyler SchusterJacksonville State
  • Kyle WoodJacksonville State
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Jacksonville State by 18.2

Middle Tennessee 18, Jacksonville State 37; 87% win probability for Jacksonville State. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
50
7:30 PM EDT

Texas A&M at LSU

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotLSU −82 books · consensus
Total snapshot51.8Consensus
All Takes marginLSU by 7.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreTexas A&M 23 · LSU 27LSU by 4.4

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardPass

The totals model projects 51.2 points against the card’s 51.8 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
LSU by 4.4

Texas A&M 23, LSU 27; 61% win probability for LSU. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
51
7:30 PM EDT

Arizona at Washington State

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotArizona −10.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot48.3Consensus
All Takes marginArizona by 11.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreArizona 31 · Washington State 18Arizona by 12.9

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardOver 48.5

The totals model projects 50.0 points against the card’s 48.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Arizona
  • Steven LassanArizona
  • Tyler SchusterArizona
  • Kyle WoodArizona
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Arizona by 12.9

Arizona 31, Washington State 18; 79% win probability for Arizona. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
52
7:30 PM EDT

Oregon at USC

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotOregon −3.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot61.3Consensus
All Takes marginOregon by 3.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreOregon 30 · USC 29Oregon by 0.3

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardUnder 62.5

The totals model projects 59.8 points against the card’s 62.3 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Cover 3 podcastSept. 24 locks
3 host plays
  • Chip PattersonOregon −3 (−110)
  • Danny KanellUSC–Oregon over 61.5 (−110)
  • Tom FornelliUSC–Oregon over 61.5 (−110)
Watch episode ↗Check pick list ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Oregon by 0.3

Oregon 30, USC 29; 51% win probability for Oregon. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
53
7:30 PM EDT

Troy at Utah State

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotUtah State −32 books · consensus
Total snapshot47.5Consensus
All Takes marginUtah State by 3.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreTroy 26 · Utah State 25Troy by 0.6

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardOver 47.0

The totals model projects 48.6 points against the card’s 47.3 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Troy
  • Steven LassanTroy
  • Tyler SchusterTroy
  • Kyle WoodTroy
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Troy by 0.6

Troy 26, Utah State 25; 52% win probability for Troy. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
54
7:30 PM EDT

Houston Christian at North Texas

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotNorth Texas −382 books · consensus
Total snapshot59.8Consensus
All Takes marginNorth Texas by 38.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreHouston Christian 11 · North Texas 45North Texas by 33.5

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardNo published call

This FBS–FCS matchup is outside the published totals card.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: North Texas
  • Steven LassanNorth Texas
  • Tyler SchusterNorth Texas
  • Kyle WoodNorth Texas
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
North Texas by 33.5

Houston Christian 11, North Texas 45; 98% win probability for North Texas. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
55
7:30 PM EDT

App State at NC State

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotNC State −142 books · consensus
Total snapshot55.5Consensus
All Takes marginNC State by 14.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreApp State 21 · NC State 34NC State by 13.8

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardUnder 55.5

The totals model projects 54.2 points against the card’s 55.3 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: NC State
  • Steven LassanNC State
  • Tyler SchusterNC State
  • Kyle WoodNC State
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
NC State by 13.8

App State 21, NC State 34; 81% win probability for NC State. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
56
7:45 PM EDT

Missouri at Mississippi State

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotMississippi State −62 books · consensus
Total snapshot58.8Consensus
All Takes marginMississippi State by 5.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreMissouri 27 · Mississippi State 27Missouri by 0.5

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardUnder 58.5

The totals model projects 56.8 points against the card’s 58.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Mississippi State
  • Steven LassanMississippi State
  • Tyler SchusterMississippi State
  • Kyle WoodMississippi State
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Missouri by 0.5

Missouri 27, Mississippi State 27; 51% win probability for Missouri. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
57
8:00 PM EDT

Tulsa at Arkansas

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotArkansas −72 books · consensus
Total snapshot50.5Consensus
All Takes marginArkansas by 7.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreTulsa 27 · Arkansas 30Arkansas by 3.5

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardOver 50.5

The totals model projects 52.1 points against the card’s 50.8 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
Split decision
  • Steven LassanArkansas
  • Tyler SchusterTulsa
  • Kyle WoodTulsa
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Arkansas by 3.5

Tulsa 27, Arkansas 30; 59% win probability for Arkansas. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
58
8:00 PM EDT

Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotFlorida Atlantic −11.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot58.3Consensus
All Takes marginFlorida Atlantic by 12.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreFlorida Atlantic 38 · UL Monroe 19Florida Atlantic by 18.1

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardPass

The totals model projects 56.8 points against the card’s 57.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Florida Atlantic
  • Steven LassanFlorida Atlantic
  • Tyler SchusterFlorida Atlantic
  • Kyle WoodFlorida Atlantic
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Florida Atlantic by 18.1

Florida Atlantic 38, UL Monroe 19; 87% win probability for Florida Atlantic. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
59
9:00 PM EDT

Missouri State at SMU

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotSMU −33.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot59.8Consensus
All Takes marginSMU by 33.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreMissouri State 11 · SMU 43SMU by 31.8

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardPass

The totals model projects 59.5 points against the card’s 59.8 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
SMU by 31.8

Missouri State 11, SMU 43; 98% win probability for SMU. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
60
9:00 PM EDT

Oregon State at UTEP

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotOregon State −11.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot56.3Consensus
All Takes marginOregon State by 12.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreOregon State 33 · UTEP 18Oregon State by 14.7

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardPass

The totals model projects 55.9 points against the card’s 56.3 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Oregon State
  • Steven LassanOregon State
  • Tyler SchusterOregon State
  • Kyle WoodOregon State
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Oregon State by 14.7

Oregon State 33, UTEP 18; 82% win probability for Oregon State. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
61
9:00 PM EDT

Massachusetts at Sacramento State

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotMassachusetts −4.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot48.5Consensus
All Takes marginMassachusetts by 5.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreMassachusetts 24 · Sacramento State 25Sacramento State by 1.6

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardUnder 48.5

The totals model projects 47.5 points against the card’s 48.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Massachusetts
  • Steven LassanMassachusetts
  • Tyler SchusterMassachusetts
  • Kyle WoodMassachusetts
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Sacramento State by 1.6

Massachusetts 24, Sacramento State 25; 54% win probability for Sacramento State. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
62
10:00 PM EDT

Rice at Fresno State

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotFresno State −13.252 books · consensus
Total snapshot44.3Consensus
All Takes marginFresno State by 13.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreRice 15 · Fresno State 32Fresno State by 16.9

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardOver 44.0

The totals model projects 45.8 points against the card’s 44.3 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Fresno State
  • Steven LassanFresno State
  • Tyler SchusterFresno State
  • Kyle WoodFresno State
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Fresno State by 16.9

Rice 15, Fresno State 32; 86% win probability for Fresno State. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
63
10:30 PM EDT

Georgia Tech at Stanford

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotGeorgia Tech −3.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot48.5Consensus
All Takes marginGeorgia Tech by 4.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreGeorgia Tech 30 · Stanford 20Georgia Tech by 9.3

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardOver 47.5

The totals model projects 48.5 points against the card’s 47.8 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Georgia Tech
  • Steven LassanGeorgia Tech
  • Tyler SchusterGeorgia Tech
  • Kyle WoodGeorgia Tech
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Georgia Tech by 9.3

Georgia Tech 30, Stanford 20; 72% win probability for Georgia Tech. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
64
10:30 PM EDT

Air Force at Nevada

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotAir Force −5.752 books · consensus
Total snapshot50.5Consensus
All Takes marginAir Force by 6.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreAir Force 27 · Nevada 23Air Force by 4.3

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardUnder 49.5

The totals model projects 48.8 points against the card’s 49.5 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Air Force
  • Steven LassanAir Force
  • Tyler SchusterAir Force
  • Kyle WoodAir Force
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Air Force by 4.3

Air Force 27, Nevada 23; 61% win probability for Air Force. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗
65
11:00 PM EDT

Minnesota at Washington

All Takes sidePass
Spread snapshotWashington −10.52 books · consensus
Total snapshot45.8Consensus
All Takes marginWashington by 10.0Week 4 game forecast
SP+ scoreMinnesota 19 · Washington 28Washington by 9.4

All Takes

Our calls

Week 4 side cardPass

No side selection on the issued Week 4 card.

Week 4 totals cardPass

The totals model projects 46.1 points against the card’s 45.8 consensus total. Its saved price can differ from the later snapshot above.

Outside predictions

How others see it

Athlon SportsThree staff picks
3 of 3: Washington
  • Steven LassanWashington
  • Tyler SchusterWashington
  • Kyle WoodWashington
Week 4 staff sheet ↗
Bill Connelly’s SP+Published Week 4 score
Washington by 9.4

Minnesota 19, Washington 28; 72% win probability for Washington. Scores are rounded, so a close margin can display as a tie. This is a score projection.

Week 4 score sheet ↗

Source notes

The calls keep their original prices.

All Takes. The forecasts and side card share the Sept. 25 evening release. The totals card has an earlier saved market, so its lines may differ from the top row. The side selection rule has no separately established historical betting record; see the totals page for that card’s historical context.

Cover 3. The four main hosts made 52 Saturday plays across 27 matchups, including full-game, first-half, quarter, team-total and moneyline calls. These are the prices in the Sept. 24 episode recap. Producer, dentist and Club Kenz picks are outside this host list.

Athlon and SP+. Steven Lassan, Tyler Schuster and Kyle Wood each picked a winner for all 65 Saturday games. Bill Connelly’s Week 4 SP+ sheet supplies the score, margin and win probability. Lines and conditions can change before kickoff.

Cover 3 episode ↗Cover 3 pick recap ↗Athlon staff picks ↗SP+ Week 4 sheet ↗