Week 4 ratings · September 26 at 9:13 AM ET
The All-Takes Power Rating
All 138 FBS teams, ranked in points above an average FBS team on a neutral field. Georgia leads the board at +29.51.
Entering Week 4
Where every team stands.
Each rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field. Use the game forecasts for a specific matchup: they also account for the opponent and venue.
Completed games update each team’s underlying performance ratings. New information from market spreads and public forecasts adjusts those ratings, and earlier adjustments carry forward as later games are added. Subtracting two displayed ratings will not necessarily reproduce their game forecast.
138 shown
Rank / teamWeek 4 updateRating
How to read the ratings
The season starts with prior performance, roster and coaching information, plus an opening-market adjustment. Completed games update measures of scoring, yards per play and how consistently teams move the ball.
When current spreads and public predictions suggest a different outlook, they adjust the underlying team ratings. Those adjustments persist into later weeks and are updated by subsequent games. The game forecast comes from these updated ratings, with opponent and venue taken into account.
The current public sources are Sagarin Predictor, PiRate and Donchess. Games without a current market line use the accumulated team evidence and earlier adjustments, with no new weekly market update.
An improvement in future accuracy has not been established. A projected winner can still be a poor bet at the available spread. The game forecasts below are estimates, not betting recommendations.
Week 4 · September 24–26
Game projections
Our projected winner and margin for all 71 games involving an FBS team. Home field is already included. These are score-margin forecasts, not betting recommendations.
Completed games and new information from market spreads and public predictions update the team ratings used for each forecast. Earlier adjustments carry forward. The current public sources are Sagarin Predictor, PiRate and Donchess.
71 game forecasts · 58 FBS–FBS games · 13 FBS–FCS games · as of Sep 26, 9:13 AM ET
Market lines retrieved Sep 26, 9:13 AM ET
Market spreads are labeled by the favorite. “Difference” names the side the forecast favors relative to the market. Totals are market lines. Prices can change before kickoff. The 0 games without a current market line still have forecasts, based on accumulated team evidence and earlier adjustments.
| Kickoff · ET | Away at home | All-Takes | Market spread | Difference | Market total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertyat Coastal Carolina | Liberty by 3.00Includes latest weekly update | Liberty −2.502 books · Bovada + DraftKings | Liberty 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 49.50Market line | |
| Armyat Temple | Army by 4.00Includes latest weekly update | Army −3.752 books · Bovada + DraftKings | Army 0.25 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 48.50Market line | |
| Howardat RutgersFBS–FCS matchup | Rutgers by 42.00Includes latest weekly update | Rutgers −42.252 books · Bovada + DraftKings | Howard 0.25 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 57.50Market line | |
| Navyat UAB | Navy by 7.00Includes latest weekly update | Navy −6.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Navy 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 51.25Market line | |
| Northwesternat Indiana | Indiana by 20.00Includes latest weekly update | Indiana −20.252 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Northwestern 0.25 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 49.75Market line | |
| Clemsonat California | Clemson by 3.00Includes latest weekly update | Clemson −2.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Clemson 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 52.25Market line | |
| Texasat Tennessee | Texas by 6.00Includes latest weekly update | Texas −5.252 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Texas 0.75 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 54.75Market line | |
| Sam Houstonat Texas Tech | Texas Tech by 34.00Includes latest weekly update | Texas Tech −34.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Sam Houston 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 56.25Market line | |
| Coloradoat Baylor | Baylor by 8.00Includes latest weekly update | Baylor −9.252 books · Bovada + DraftKings | Colorado 1.25 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 55.50Market line | |
| Bucknellat PittsburghFBS–FCS matchup | Pittsburgh by 52.00Includes latest weekly update | Pittsburgh −54.002 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Bucknell 2.00 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 63.50Market line | |
| Virginia Techat Boston College | Virginia Tech by 14.00Includes latest weekly update | Virginia Tech −14.002 books · DraftKings + Bovada | AlignedAll-Takes vs. current spread | 45.50Market line | |
| Wake Forestat Louisville | Louisville by 11.00Includes latest weekly update | Louisville −12.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Wake Forest 1.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 57.25Market line | |
| Illinoisat Ohio State | Ohio State by 26.00Includes latest weekly update | Ohio State −26.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Illinois 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 54.50Market line | |
| San Diego Stateat Toledo | Toledo by 2.00Includes latest weekly update | Toledo −2.752 books · DraftKings + Bovada | San Diego State 0.75 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 50.75Market line | |
| Colorado Stateat UTSA | UTSA by 14.00Includes latest weekly update | UTSA −14.002 books · DraftKings + Bovada | AlignedAll-Takes vs. current spread | 57.25Market line | |
| UNLVat Akron | UNLV by 14.00Includes latest weekly update | UNLV −13.252 books · DraftKings + Bovada | UNLV 0.75 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 53.25Market line | |
| Ball Stateat Kent State | Kent State by 3.00Includes latest weekly update | Kent State −3.002 books · DraftKings + Bovada | AlignedAll-Takes vs. current spread | 50.75Market line | |
| South Alabamaat Kentucky | Kentucky by 20.00Includes latest weekly update | Kentucky −20.502 books · Bovada + DraftKings | South Alabama 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 54.25Market line | |
| Lindenwoodat Eastern MichiganFBS–FCS matchup | Eastern Michigan by 25.00Includes latest weekly update | Eastern Michigan −25.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Lindenwood 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 51.25Market line | |
| UCLAat Maryland | UCLA by 3.00Includes latest weekly update | UCLA −1.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | UCLA 1.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 56.25Market line | |
| Notre Dameat Purdue | Notre Dame by 28.00Includes latest weekly update | Notre Dame −27.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Notre Dame 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 57.25Market line | |
| Northern Illinoisat Georgia State | Georgia State by 10.00Includes latest weekly update | Georgia State −10.252 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Northern Illinois 0.25 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 56.50Market line | |
| Central Arkansasat Florida StateFBS–FCS matchup | Florida State by 45.00Includes latest weekly update | Florida State −46.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Central Arkansas 1.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 62.75Market line | |
| Hawai'iat Wyoming | Hawai'i by 3.00Includes latest weekly update | Hawai'i −2.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Hawai'i 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 43.50Market line | |
| Ole Missat Florida | Florida by 3.00Includes latest weekly update | Florida −3.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Ole Miss 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 58.75Market line | |
| Oklahomaat Georgia | Georgia by 13.00Includes latest weekly update | Georgia −13.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Oklahoma 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 43.50Market line | |
| TCUat UCF | TCU by 3.00Includes latest weekly update | TCU −3.002 books · DraftKings + Bovada | AlignedAll-Takes vs. current spread | 48.25Market line | |
| Utahat Iowa State | Utah by 8.00Includes latest weekly update | Utah −7.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Utah 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 47.50Market line | |
| William & Maryat DukeFBS–FCS matchup | Duke by 42.00Includes latest weekly update | Duke −44.002 books · DraftKings + Bovada | William & Mary 2.00 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 62.25Market line | |
| Iowaat Michigan | Michigan by 5.00Includes latest weekly update | Michigan −5.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Iowa 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 38.75Market line | |
| Boise Stateat Western Michigan | Boise State by 7.00Includes latest weekly update | Boise State −7.252 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Western Michigan 0.25 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 50.25Market line | |
| UConnat Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) by 3.00Includes latest weekly update | Miami (OH) −3.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | UConn 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 51.75Market line | |
| New Mexicoat New Mexico State | New Mexico by 12.00Includes latest weekly update | New Mexico −11.252 books · DraftKings + Bovada | New Mexico 0.75 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 48.50Market line | |
| Robert Morrisat BuffaloFBS–FCS matchup | Buffalo by 28.00Includes latest weekly update | Buffalo −28.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Robert Morris 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 46.50Market line | |
| Stonehillat OhioFBS–FCS matchup | Ohio by 33.00Includes latest weekly update | Ohio −33.252 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Stonehill 0.25 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 53.25Market line | |
| Gardner-Webbat MarshallFBS–FCS matchup | Marshall by 23.00Includes latest weekly update | Marshall −23.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Gardner-Webb 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 52.50Market line | |
| Houstonat Georgia Southern | Houston by 18.00Includes latest weekly update | Houston −17.252 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Houston 0.75 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 56.50Market line | |
| North Carolina Centralat East CarolinaFBS–FCS matchup | East Carolina by 35.00Includes latest weekly update | East Carolina −36.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | North Carolina Central 1.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 56.50Market line | |
| Vanderbiltat Auburn | Auburn by 8.00Includes latest weekly update | Auburn −9.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Vanderbilt 1.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 55.50Market line | |
| Nebraskaat Michigan State | Nebraska by 6.00Includes latest weekly update | Nebraska −5.752 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Nebraska 0.25 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 49.25Market line | |
| Wisconsinat Penn State | Penn State by 10.00Includes latest weekly update | Penn State −10.002 books · DraftKings + Bovada | AlignedAll-Takes vs. current spread | 43.75Market line | |
| South Floridaat Bowling Green | South Florida by 19.00Includes latest weekly update | South Florida −18.252 books · DraftKings + Bovada | South Florida 0.75 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 48.75Market line | |
| Delawareat Virginia | Virginia by 19.00Includes latest weekly update | Virginia −19.752 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Delaware 0.75 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 52.50Market line | |
| Incarnate Wordat Texas StateFBS–FCS matchup | Texas State by 29.00Includes latest weekly update | Texas State −30.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Incarnate Word 1.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 64.75Market line | |
| Long Island Universityat Florida InternationalFBS–FCS matchup | Florida International by 35.00Includes latest weekly update | Florida International −36.002 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Long Island University 1.00 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 53.25Market line | |
| James Madisonat Old Dominion | James Madison by 6.00Includes latest weekly update | James Madison −6.002 books · DraftKings + Bovada | AlignedAll-Takes vs. current spread | 43.75Market line | |
| Central Michiganat Miami | Miami by 41.00Includes latest weekly update | Miami −41.252 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Central Michigan 0.25 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 53.50Market line | |
| Louisianaat Charlotte | Louisiana by 10.00Includes latest weekly update | Louisiana −10.002 books · DraftKings + Bovada | AlignedAll-Takes vs. current spread | 49.50Market line | |
| South Carolinaat Alabama | Alabama by 12.00Includes latest weekly update | Alabama −12.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | South Carolina 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 54.25Market line | |
| Kansas Stateat Cincinnati | Kansas State by 7.00Includes latest weekly update | Kansas State −6.252 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Kansas State 0.75 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 55.50Market line | |
| Oklahoma Stateat West Virginia | West Virginia by 1.00Includes latest weekly update | West Virginia −1.752 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Oklahoma State 0.75 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 61.25Market line | |
| Southern Missat Tulane | Tulane by 17.00Includes latest weekly update | Tulane −17.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Southern Miss 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 52.50Market line | |
| Kennesaw Stateat Arkansas State | Arkansas State by 6.00Includes latest weekly update | Arkansas State −6.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Kennesaw State 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 52.50Market line | |
| Mercyhurstat Western KentuckyFBS–FCS matchup | Western Kentucky by 39.00Includes latest weekly update | Western Kentucky −40.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Mercyhurst 1.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 58.25Market line | |
| Middle Tennesseeat Jacksonville State | Jacksonville State by 7.00Includes latest weekly update | Jacksonville State −7.002 books · DraftKings + Bovada | AlignedAll-Takes vs. current spread | 51.50Market line | |
| Texas A&Mat LSU | LSU by 7.00Includes latest weekly update | LSU −8.002 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Texas A&M 1.00 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 51.75Market line | |
| Arizonaat Washington State | Arizona by 11.00Includes latest weekly update | Arizona −10.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Arizona 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 48.25Market line | |
| Oregonat USC | Oregon by 3.00Includes latest weekly update | Oregon −3.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | USC 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 61.25Market line | |
| Troyat Utah State | Utah State by 3.00Includes latest weekly update | Utah State −3.002 books · DraftKings + Bovada | AlignedAll-Takes vs. current spread | 47.50Market line | |
| Houston Christianat North TexasFBS–FCS matchup | North Texas by 38.00Includes latest weekly update | North Texas −38.002 books · DraftKings + Bovada | AlignedAll-Takes vs. current spread | 59.75Market line | |
| App Stateat NC State | NC State by 14.00Includes latest weekly update | NC State −14.002 books · DraftKings + Bovada | AlignedAll-Takes vs. current spread | 55.50Market line | |
| Missouriat Mississippi State | Mississippi State by 5.00Includes latest weekly update | Mississippi State −6.002 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Missouri 1.00 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 58.75Market line | |
| Tulsaat Arkansas | Arkansas by 7.00Includes latest weekly update | Arkansas −7.002 books · DraftKings + Bovada | AlignedAll-Takes vs. current spread | 50.50Market line | |
| Florida Atlanticat UL Monroe | Florida Atlantic by 12.00Includes latest weekly update | Florida Atlantic −11.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Florida Atlantic 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 58.25Market line | |
| Missouri Stateat SMU | SMU by 33.00Includes latest weekly update | SMU −33.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Missouri State 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 59.75Market line | |
| Oregon Stateat UTEP | Oregon State by 12.00Includes latest weekly update | Oregon State −11.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Oregon State 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 56.25Market line | |
| Massachusettsat Sacramento State | Massachusetts by 5.00Includes latest weekly update | Massachusetts −4.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Massachusetts 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 48.50Market line | |
| Riceat Fresno State | Fresno State by 13.00Includes latest weekly update | Fresno State −13.252 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Rice 0.25 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 44.25Market line | |
| Georgia Techat Stanford | Georgia Tech by 4.00Includes latest weekly update | Georgia Tech −3.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Georgia Tech 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 48.50Market line | |
| Air Forceat Nevada | Air Force by 6.00Includes latest weekly update | Air Force −5.752 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Air Force 0.25 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 50.50Market line | |
| Minnesotaat Washington | Washington by 10.00Includes latest weekly update | Washington −10.502 books · DraftKings + Bovada | Minnesota 0.50 ptsAll-Takes vs. current spread | 45.75Market line |